Winter planning 2026/27 – expectations and assurance

Classification: Official

To:

  • All NHS trust:
    • chairs
    • chief executives
    • chief operating officers
    • medical directors
    • chief nurses
  • Integrated care board:
    • chairs
    • chief executives
    • chief operating officers
    • medical directors
    • chief nurses
  • Primary care networks
  • Local government chief executives
  • Directors of adult social services
  • Directors of public health

cc:

  • Regional:
    • directors
    • chief operating officers
    • medical directors
    • chief nurses
    • directors of commissioning
    • chairs

Dear colleagues

Winter planning 2026/27 – expectations and assurance

Last winter was the best in 3 years for 4-hour performance and ambulance response times, despite an early flu season, a January norovirus peak and industrial action. That was the result of early planning and strong collaboration across health and care, for which we thank you. This letter sets out the national approach to winter 2026/27 and the actions we need every part of the NHS and local government to take, starting now.

Every local area must have a robust, clinically led and deliverable winter plan. The core expectations are:

  • draft winter plans completed by the end of August, developed jointly by all local partners: acute, ambulance, community, mental health, primary care, local authorities, social care and the third sector
  • a named executive winter lead in every ICB and provider, accountable for preparedness and response
  • plans tested at the NHS England regional stress test exercises in September
  • plans signed off by boards using the board assurance statements (BAS), submitted to england.eecpmo@nhs.net by 30 September 2026

Responsibilities for winter reflect the new operating model set out in the Model ICB and Model Region Blueprints: ICBs commission, providers deliver, and regions oversee. The BAS templates set out in full what boards will be asked to assure; use them now to shape your plans rather than as a retrospective checklist. In summary:

Integrated care boards

ICBs are responsible for the winter plan for their area, agreed with all partners and signed off by their board. Plans must be built on a whole-area demand and capacity analysis with robust planning assumptions, tested against surge and extreme surge scenarios. As strategic commissioners, ICBs must lead prevention now – vaccination uptake (particularly maximising uptake in children to help reduce spread), and proactive support for people most at risk from winter viruses and cold weather – and commission the right level of activity for winter so that people are treated closer to home wherever possible. That means sufficient commissioned capacity across:

  • primary care: same day urgent appointments, enhanced access, NHS 111 direct booking, community pharmacy and out-of-hours provision including during holidays and over Christmas, alongside delivery of the seasonal vaccination campaigns
  • community services: urgent community response, virtual wards and Hospital at Home, with senior clinical decision-making accessible through a single point of access at least 12 hours a day, 7 days a week
  • mental health: resilient all-age crisis services, including urgent mental health helplines via NHS 111, crisis alternatives and liaison psychiatry, with crisis plans in place ahead of winter for high-risk patients and frequent attenders
  • social care and intermediate care: commissioned jointly with local authorities, with discharge planned together, sufficient capacity through winter and agreed plans to reduce hospital occupancy ahead of Christmas
  • infection prevention and control (IPC): commissioning safe IPC practice in care homes and the wider care sector

ICBs must also co-ordinate the winter response day-to-day through their co-ordination centre, operating 7 days a week and using the OPEL framework, with tested escalation, surge and mutual aid arrangements agreed by all partners.

NHS trusts and foundation trusts

Providers are accountable for operational delivery through winter. Trusts must:

  • complete an organisational winter plan by the end of August, with staff flu vaccination programmes ready to launch and preparatory actions under way now
  • implement the Model emergency department (ED), Model acute pathway and Model discharge pathway requirements ahead of winter, with the elimination of corridor care treated as a patient safety priority, while maintaining elective capacity throughout the winter period
  • assure tested arrangements for escalation, infection prevention and control, on-call leadership and staff welfare, and protect delivery of agreed 2026/27 trajectories

Ambulance services

  • plan to deliver the 2026/27 category 2 response time trajectory, maximising hear and treat, see and treat and referral into alternatives to ED, to reduce conveyance rates
  • work with acute partners to deliver 15-minute handovers, with none exceeding the 45-minute maximum

Regional teams

In line with the Model Region Blueprint, regional teams will oversee winter preparedness and performance across providers and ICBs, arrange the September stress test exercises, assure plans across their geographies and co-ordinate mutual aid across ICB boundaries where needed, including specialised services and pathways commissioned outside of ICB arrangements.  

Support available

We will share performance data to support planning by the end of July via NHS Futures, run online sessions in July on improving vaccination uptake, and publish further guidance on urgent community response and community beds shortly. We will continue to work with ICBs and providers to support communication on 111, Pharmacy First, vaccination, and alternatives to ED.

Thank you for everything you and your teams are doing to prepare. Early, collaborative planning delivered a better winter for patients last year; together we can do so again.

Yours sincerely

Sarah-Jane Marsh CBE, NHS England Chief Operating Officer

Publication reference: PRN02603